As we enter Week 4 of the NFL season, a handful of playoff hopefuls find themselves in desperate situations. If you’re a bettor in a desperate situation, it’s time to bet smarter NFL Week 4.
Houston and Minnesota, who meet on Sunday, are both 0-3 and even with a win are facing uphill battles. Although the Philadelphia Eagles are winless at 0-2-1, they’re only a half-game behind in the atrocious NFC East.
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There are still seven undefeated teams, two of them in the NFC North, with the Packers and the Bears in control. Meanwhile, the aforementioned NFC East is a combined 1-8-1 against teams outside of the division. The Eagles could find themselves in first place with a win over the Niners and losses by Dallas and Washington.
The Pack is Back and Rolling
The Green Bay Packers are 3-0, have covered in all three games, and are winning by more than 12 points a game.
Their games have also blown away the over/under by an average of over 20 points a game. This week, the Packers are 7.5-point favorites against visiting Atlanta with a season-high over/under of 57.5.
The winless Falcons are the hard-luck story of 2020, blowing fourth-quarter leads in their last two games. If you’re looking to bet smarter NFL Week 4, you’d know they are averaging 30 points on offense, but have given up 36 points a game defensively. That’s not a good statistic when facing a team that leads the league in points scored.
To put the Packers’ 40.7 average points in perspective, the Seahawks are next in scoring at 36.7 points a game. No other team in the NFC averages more than 30 points, and the Texans lead the AFC at 31.7. Green Bay’s points against average is in the middle of the NFC pack, so they are a considerable force.
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Although the oddsmakers have climbed the ladder to post that high over/under, it just might not be enough. The Falcons have scored enough points to stay close the last two weeks, but it hasn’t netted a victory. They’re 1-2 against the spread and will need to find a new gear on defense against the Packers.
Seahawks Head East
The Seattle Seahawks (-6.5) embark on the longest trip in the NFL, making the 3,300-mile journey to Miami.
They’ve taken care of the Panthers, Patriots and Cowboys on their way to a 3-0 record.
They are the only team other than the Packers to go unblemished against the spread this season. Anyone looking for free NFL picks might see them published in the next few weeks.
Quarterback Russell Wilson is performing like a surgeon, completing 79 of 103 passes for 925 yards and 14 touchdowns. He’s also rushed for 90 yards on 14 carries, just enough to keep opposing defenses on their heels. Defensively, they’re giving up over 430 yards per game through the air, but have also grabbed four interceptions.
The Dolphins started with two losses but looked like a different team in a 31-13 win at Jacksonville. They’re probably better than their record indicates since their opening losses were to New England and Buffalo. They’ve managed to cover the spread in two of their three games.
The over/under for the game is 54, with point totals of games of the two teams averaging 55.3. If the Miami defense shows up like it did in Jacksonville, the under could be the smart bet in this one.
