The Toronto Raptors opened this year’s NBA Finals as +235 underdogs on the initial series price odds. The reigning NBA Champion Golden State Warriors were listed as -290 favorites to win their fourth title in the past five seasons.
Betting series odds is a lot like day trading in the stock market. The betting odds rise and fall with each passing game. Following the Raptors’ 118-109 victory in Game 1 closing as slight 1.5-point home favorites, their series price moved to +130 while Golden State offered much better value as a -150 favorite on the series price.
Game 2 was on Sunday in Toronto and the Raptors came up short in a 109-104 loss as 2.5-point favorites at home. This best-of-seven series now shifts to the West Coast for the next two games. Game 3 tips off at 9 p.m. at Oracle Arena in Oakland. Game 4 is slated for Friday night at that same venue.
NBA Finals Series Updated Price Odds
The adjusted best-of-five game series now favors Golden State when it comes to having a home court advantage. Toronto will have to win at least one of the next two games on the road to have a realistic shot at winning this series. It has gone an even 4-4 straight-up in eight previous road games in this year’s playoffs with a 3-5 record against the spread. Golden State has won six of its eight home games in the postseason with a matching 3-5 record on the closing spread.
In light of the 1-1 split, the new series price is back in line with the original odds. The Raptors are +220 underdogs heading into Game 3 with the series betting odds on Golden State as the favorite set at -270.
Betting the series price now all hinges on how you see things playing out. The best thing for Golden State bettors was the loss in Game 1. Getting the Warriors at -150 basically cut the risk in half for betting the favorite. That value was lost with Sunday’s win. If the Warriors go on to win Game 3 on Wednesday, that current price will probably double.
The best time to bet the Raptors was right before tip off in Game 1. If they go onto win Game 3, the current number will once again come way down. You would be able to get a great price on Toronto ahead of Friday’s Game 4 is it loses on Wednesday night. However, the chances of this team beating Golden State three times over the next four games would squeeze most of the value from that inflated series price.
NBA Finals Game 3 Betting Odds
The early betting line for Game 3 has the Warriors set as 5.5-point home favorites with the total set at 213 points for the second game in a row. The money line odds for Game 3 favor Golden State at -235. The odds that Toronto wins SU are set at -190.
The Raptors lost their first two road games against Milwaukee SU and ATS closing as 6.5-point underdogs in each contest. This was ahead of a stunning four-game winning streak against the Bucks SU and ATS. They closed as 7.5-point road underdogs in a crucial 105-99 victory in Game 5 to take the 3-2 series lead.
Betting Toronto to cover in this Wednesday’s game makes sense to me given everything that is on the line. There is no word whether or not Kevin Durant can play for Golden State in Game 3 and Klay Thompson left Game 2 in the fourth quarter after tweaking his hamstring. He is expected to be in the lineup on Wednesday, but the situation bears watching.