This week’s PGA Championship at Bethpage Black in New York may catch some golf bettors off guard. This tournament was usually held in early August as the fourth and final Major of the season. It has been moved up to this month to help fill the gap between April’s Masters and June’s US Open.
The big story heading into the 2019 PGA Championship is Tiger Woods’ chances to follow-up his stunning victory at Augusta National with another win in this Major. The betting odds say he is the one to beat as a +800 favorite. The online books are taking a cautious approach to setting the odds after suffering some significant losses when Tiger won his first Major since 2008.
Betting on an outright winner in any professional golf tournament is a very low-percentage wager. Things get even tougher to predict when you have the world’s best golfers assembled in the field. The best of the best are gunning for a victory in a Major, so it all comes down to finding the golfers that will bring their A-Game to the golf course this week.
2019 PGA Championship- Top Valued Bet
A good place to start when it comes to finding the best value in the betting odds for this week’s PGA Championship are the odds posted for a Top 5 finish. Winning a tournament outright is hard to do, but remaining competitive enough to finish among the leaders can offer some great betting value for the best golfers in the field.
Woods’ betting odds for a Top 5 finish are set at +260 as the best on the board. My top-valued play would actually be Brooks Koepka at +275. This guy has been at the top of his game the past few seasons in the Majors. He has won the last two US Opens and he comes into this Major as the defending champion. Going back over his last four PGA Championships, he tied for fifth in 2015 and fourth the following year. He was tied for 13th in 2017 ahead of last year’s victory at Bellerive Country Club near St. Louis. Koepka’s betting odds to win this year’s tournament are second on the board behind Tiger at +1000.
Another of the PGA Tour’s top golfers is Dustin Johnson and his odds to win are also set at +1000. He also joins Koepka and Rory McIlroy at +275 odds to finish in the Top 5. He won the US Open in 2016 as his only Major title. His best finish in the PGA was a tie for fifth back in 2010. Adding some value is a tied for second place in this year’s Masters.
2019 PGA Championship- Head-to-head Matchups
Another great way to bet on golf is head-to-head matchups. The player you bet on does not have to win, they only have to finish higher than the player they are paired against.
The betting odds for a match between Woods and Koepka are set at -110 for either side. You have to give Tiger all the credit in the world for turning back time in this year’s Masters, but Koepka tied for second in that tournament. At 29 years of age, I taking him over Woods every time.
Koepka is a +115 underdog in a head-to-head pairing against Johnson as a -135 favorite. Once again, I am going with Koepka given the added value in his betting odds. In a head-to-head match between Johnson and McIlroy, the slight edge goes to Johnson at -115 betting odds. Rory opens as a slight -105 underdog. McIlroy has two PGA Tournament titles on his resume (2012 and 2014) which is enough to tip the scales slightly in his favor.