One of the biggest problems for bettors of all experience levels is simply choosing what to bet on. Sportsbooks have betting boards chock full of sports and other events from around the world. You can bet on the major sports like football, basketball, and soccer, but you can’t forget tennis, golf, and a number of other sports where wagers are available. With all those choices, how do you choose what to bet on? How do you avoid simply staring at your computer screen trying to pick a bet? It all starts with knowing what to look for. HOW TO MARKET YOUR BOOKIE BUSINESS Winners vs. Value - Choosing What to Bet If you approach sports betting with a mindset of picking winners, your bankroll is probably never going to grow. In fact, it will probably become smaller and smaller. When choosing what to bet, you need to start with the right mindset. Bettors can win bets but still lose money. You have to remember, not all bets pay the same. Let’s use an example. We’ll make four bets, all on heavy favorites. We’ll wager $100 on each favorite which is listed at -500 odds to win. At -500 odds, a winning bet will pay out $20. Three of the four favorites win and the other loses. On paper, you look pretty good. You went 3-1. However, you may want to check your wallet. After winning three bets, you pocketed $60 total. You did lose one bet though which means you lost $100. Your net profit is minus-$40. Picking favorites and winners isn’t the key to successful sports betting. The key is finding strong value bets that pay. MUST READ > ADVANTAGES OF LIVE BETTING Choosing What to Bet - Always Find Value The idea in choosing what to bet on is finding bets that pay more than they should. To select the best bets, you need to understand something called implied probability. Again, we’ll use an example. Let’s say you think Team A has an 80 percent chance of beating Team B. At an implied probability of 80 percent, Team A’s odds of winning are -400. At those odds, a $100 bet would pay out $25. When you go to your sportsbook, you find that Team A is listed as a -200 favorite to beat Team B. The implied probability in this case is 66.67 percent. You think Team A has a much better chance of winning than what the sportsbook does. You should also note that a winning bet in this case pays out $50, more than what you think it should. That is value and those are the types of bets you should be searching for. Did you know that betting golf is the newest betting trend? Betting Underdogs Where bettors can really find value is on underdogs. A look at another example can help you understand just how important finding underdogs can be. If you make four $100 bets again and this time pick four different underdogs all given +400 odds to win, you’ll see that you only need one of these bets to be correct to come out ahead. This time, your won-loss record (1-3) doesn’t look so great but your bankroll has increased by $100. You lose $300 - $100 each on the three losing bets - but you make $400 on your one underdog winner. That leaves you with the $100 profit. Find a Betting Niche Smarter bettors love to bet on the major sports - football and basketball, for example - but the smarter bettor can find a niche in a sport like golf. Instead of betting spreads and moneylines, golf bettors can make a lot of money betting on event winners. In most golf tournaments, the favorite to win is given plus-money odds typically between +300 and +800. In golf, you can bet favorites and still get big payouts. Betting on underdogs in golf can really pay off. Even in the major sports, there are plenty of bets on the board from which to choose. Take the NBA Race to 20 points. It’s a game prop where bettors can prosper if they know what to look for. You may have a team like Portland taking on Utah or Brooklyn. The Trail Blazers won’t be the favorite to win and you may not like the spread or moneyline bets. But, you find Portland at plus-money in the Race to 20 points. You also know Portland scores more first-quarter points than any team in the NBA. How to choose what to bet on comes down to two things primarily - finding value and doing your research. It takes time to find good quality bets. Take the time to do so and your bankroll will thank you.
It’s almost hard to believe, but we are less than 100 days away from the 2021 NCAAF season. That means there’s no better time to talk about college football futures. It all kicks off on August 28 with a handful of games that will wet bettors’ appetites for the season to come. Before we get there, we’ll take a look at college football futures. Sports bettors can start thinking of the upcoming season right now and dream of hefty paydays later. Last week we looked at post 2021 NFL draft futures. College Football Futures - National Champion Alabama pulled off one of the more impressive seasons in college football history in 2020. The Crimson Tide has won six national titles in the past 12 seasons. Yes, they lost a ton of talent from last year’s team including Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith, QB Mac Jones, WR Jaylen Waddle, and RB Najee Harris. But, head coach Nick Saban has been through this before. His recruiting classes are the best in the country and he will simply reload in 2021. That is why Alabama is the overall favorite at +210 to repeat - something they did in 2011 and 2012 - as national champ. Alabama will be pushed by the cast of usual suspects including Clemson (+450), Georgia (+600), and Ohio State (+550). The Tigers and Buckeyes will start new quarterbacks in D.J. Uiagalelei and C.J. Stroud. Georgia welcomes back J.T. Daniels who took over as the starter last season. If there is a wild card in the mix, it could be Oklahoma (+700). The Sooners return QB Spencer Rattler (more on him later) and a defense that continues to improve under defensive coordinator Alex Grinch. Did you know that betting golf is the newest betting trend? The Big 12 With Rattler and the Sooners defense returning so many starters, it’s easy to see why Oklahoma is favored to win the Big 12 at -165. The Sooners competition will come from Iowa State (+300), which beat Oklahoma during the regular season but lost in the conference title game. Texas (+250) has a new head coach in Steve Sarkisian and boasts a wealth of talent. The Longhorns do have to break in a new quarterback. If there is a longshot to win the conference, take a look at TCU (+1150) which returns QB Max Duggan. The Big Ten Stroud replaces Justin Fields and Ohio State, like Alabama, reloads in 2021. The Buckeyes are a -180 favorite to win a fifth consecutive conference title. Wisconsin (+700) will likely win the West Division. Michigan and Penn State are given +750 odds to win, but neither has beaten Ohio State in the past several seasons. Pac-12 The Oregon Ducks (+185) are the only plus-money favorite among the Power 5 conferences. The Ducks have won the last two straight Pac-12 titles and return starting QB Tyler Shough and All-Everything DE Kayvon Thibodeaux, MVP of last year’s conference championship game. Look for USC (+225) to challenge with QB Kedon Slovis leading a very good Trojans offense. Jayden Daniels leads a strong Arizona State (+400) offense and Washington (+325) is also a team to watch in the Pac-12 race. SEC - College Football Futures When looking at college football futures, the SEC is always highly talked about. There’s no question Alabama (-155) is the favorite to capture yet another SEC title, but Georgia (+200) should give the Tide a run for its money. Texas A&M (+750) has to replace QB Kellen Mond, but head coach Jimbo Fisher is building a champion in College Station. The one team to watch will be Ole Miss (+1550). Head coach Lane Kiffin has an extremely talented offense and he might be able to get through the SEC West schedule with a single loss. ACC The heaviest conference favorite for college football bettors is Clemson which is listed at -850 to win the ACC for a seventh straight season. The Tigers lose QB Trevor Lawrence but return Uiagalelei who started two games last season. The only real competition for Clemson will likely come from either Miami (+700) or North Carolina (+650). The Heisman Race and College Football Futures Rattler passed for 3,031 yards and 28 touchdowns last season in leading Oklahoma to another Big 12 title. He opened as the front-runner in the Heisman Trophy race and remains the +350 favorite. The Sooners’ quarterback will get his biggest challenge from UNC QB Sam Howell (+900). The Tar Heels quarterback completed over 68 percent of his passes for 3,586 yards and 30 touchdowns. Howell led North Carolina to an 8-4 record and final No. 18 ranking. Uiagalelei is listed at +600 as is new Alabama QB Bryce Young. Daniels of Georgia comes in at +750 while Stroud, the new Ohio State quarterback, is listed at +900.
With the draft here and gone, it’s time to look at post 2021 NFL draft futures. The new season has already started, with several teams already in the process of holding rookie mini-camps. From there it’s on to team mini-camps and OTAs (organized team activities). Soon, we’ll be headed to training camps in July and the 2021 season will be upon us. Before we get there, it’s time to assess how the draft impacted teams’ NFL futures odds. Some teams’ draft picks had a much greater impact than others. Here’s a look at the post 2021 NFL draft futures. ICYMI: TIPS FOR BUYING A NBA PLAYOFFS PRO SELECTION PACKAGE The Biggest Shifts - Post 2021 NFL Draft Futures Prior to the draft, Denver, which finished 5-11 last season, was given +5000 odds to win Super Bowl LVI. Post draft, those numbers have shortened to +2000, the biggest shift of odds among all 32 NFL teams. The Broncos went defense first and picked up a future star in Alabama’s Patrick Surtain II. He’s a big (6-2, 208), fast, athletic, and is the son of a former All-Pro. Head coach Vic Fangio feels you can never have too many athletic corners and Surtain should make the Broncos defense even better. Third-round pick Baron Browning is a 6-3, 245-pound sideline-to-sideline linebacker that can play Sam, Mike, or Will. Denver also picked up RB Javonte Williams in Round 2 and interior offensive lineman Quinn Meinerz of Division III Wisconsin-Whitewater in Round 3. Both should contribute early. The other big shift came in Atlanta where the Falcons went from +6600 to +5000. The big part of that shift can be attributed to Atlanta’s first pick which was Florida TE Kyle Pitts. The 6-6, 245-pound Pitts is a game-changer. He’s got outstanding speed and athleticism which gives QB Matt Ryan another target to go along with Calvin Ridley (1,374 yds., 9 TDs). Atlanta added S Richie Grant, OL Jalen Mayfield, and CB Darren Hall in their first four picks. All should contribute early and help the Falcons build on last year’s 4-12 campaign. Editor’s Choice > Are You Ready for the 2021 NHL Playoffs? The Biggest Shifts II Not every team’s draft had a positive net effect on their Super Bowl futures. In Carolina for example, the Panthers odds shifted from +5000 to +6600. What do you think caused this drop in post 2021 NFL draft futures odds? Carolina picked South Carolina CB Jaycee Horn with their first pick. Horn should be a Day 1 starter for Carolina. The Panthers also got WR Terrace Marshall out of LSU on Day 2. It wasn’t an awful draft, but the Panthers QB situation - Teddy Bridgewater or Sam Darnold - as well as other teams passing them by is likely why Carolina’s odds jumped. The Jets landed their quarterback of the future in BYU’s Zach Wilson with the No. 2 overall pick. They also got a Day 1 starter on the offensive line in Alijah Vera-Tucker out of USC. After that though, the Jets draft was so-so. That plus their history of underachieving led to a shift from +6600 to +8000 to win this season’s Super Bowl. QB Impact Two teams that drafted quarterbacks in Round 1 and saw their Super Bowl odds impacted immediately. The Chicago Bears got Justin Fields with pick No. 11 overall. Chicago had signed veteran Andy Dalton in the offseason and actually saw their odds worsen from +5000 to +6600. With the drafting of Fields, the Bears Super Bowl odds have shifted to +4500. He will play at some point as a rookie and the Bears have just enough offense - WR Allen Robinson, RB David Montgomery - and the defense to make a playoff run in 2021. The other team impacted by its selection of a quarterback in Round 1 was San Francisco. The 49ers already have Jimmy Garoppolo, but many are tired of his injury issues. The 49ers took North Dakota State product Trey Lance, a big athletic quarterback with plenty of upside. San Francisco head coach Kyle Shanahan loved Lance’s football IQ as well as his physical tools. The 49ers starting quarterback battle should be one to watch and the addition of Lance shifted the 49ers Super Bowl odds to +1150. The Longshot Bet - Post 2021 NFL Draft Futures Based solely off of their draft, the Tennessee Titans make for the most intriguing Super Bowl pick in 2021. Tennessee went 11-5 last year and won the NFC South. They’re an interesting team to follow when looking at post 2021 NFL draft futures. To their already solid roster, they added a likely Day 1 starter at corner in Caleb Farley who will play opposite Janoris Jenkins. The Titans added pass rusher Bud Dupree from Pittsburgh in the offseason and added some pieces to the puzzle on offense. OT Dillon Radunz will probably start at right tackle and WR Dez Fitzpatrick will compete for a starting job at wide receiver. With the NFL’s best running back in Derrick Henry (2,027 yards, 17 TDs) and a defense that keeps getting better, the Titans are an interesting Super Bowl longshot at +3500.
If you’ve ever thought about buying a NBA Playoffs Pro selection package, you’ve come to the right place. The NBA regular season continues to wind down while paving the way for the start of the playoffs. The Run for the Commissioner’s Trophy Over the next two months, the best teams in the league will battle it out for a world title. Starting with an eight-team NBA Play-In tournament right through the best-of-seven NBA Finals, this is a great opportunity to boost your overall betting bankroll with some winning plays. Unfortunately, the average recreational bettor tends to lose more than they win. You need to reach a winning percentage of 52.4 to break even on your bets based on the standard 10% commission. That is actually easier said then done without any professional help. Betting the NBA playoffs can generate a profitable return on investment with the help of the right pro handicapping service. You still have to take into consideration the cost of this type of service. However, if you follow the recommended unit plays on each game you bet, you can walk away a winner. Finding a NBA Playoffs Pro Selection Package The first step in the process is finding a pro that has a proven track record handicapping the NBA as an entire league. Some pros are definitely better than others when you start breaking things down on this level. By working with a handicapper that excels at picking NBA games, you will improve your chances to earn the best return on the cost of your selection package. Every pro handicapper sells their services based on an ongoing resume of their work. You should be able to find their track record over the past several NBA seasons including detailed information on the current year. Hot runs and cold streaks are always going to be a fact of life in sports betting. The year of COVID-19 has made this fact even more evident. Even the best pros are going to have ebbs and flows through the course of a NBA season. Take the Blinders Off You should always focus on the bigger picture when it comes to evaluating their overall results. Maybe even take time to see how teams start, at certain times of the day and versus different opponents. This data can help you when you are betting the NBA race to 20 points. Another tip for breaking down the performance of any pro is the winning percentage of their high-unit plays. This is where you can make the best return on investment. Even a 60% winning rate on seven or eight unit plays would add up to quite a bit of money over the course of the NBA postseason even with the added cost of the selection package. NBA Playoffs Pro Selection Package + Strategy Along with finding the right NBA Playoffs Pro selection package, you will also need to refine your actual betting strategy. The starting point for this process is determining your overall bankroll. As mentioned, the NBA playoffs cover almost two months from mid-May into early July. You also need to determine a separate budget to cover the cost of your selection package. To generate the best return on your investment, you should purchase a package that covers the entire NBA postseason. This will give you the lowest cost per pick. Once you determine that cost, you can decide what your unit bet will be. Creating a unit bet amount is vital to the whole NBA playoff betting plan. This needs to remain consistent with every bet you place. For example, if you settle on $10 per unit, a seven-unit play is always going to be a $70 bet. It is extremely important to always bet the recommended unit play on each selection to maximize your overall return.
The 2021 NHL regular season is just about over, and it’s time to take a look at the updated NHL Stanley Cup futures. Three of the four divisions have their playoff fields set. The North, or all-Canadian, Division still has one spot up for grabs, which will most likely be taken by Calgary. With the Stanley Cup playoffs looming on the horizon, it’s time once again for a look at the updated NHL Stanley Cup futures. It should be an interesting postseason in the NHL. THE LATEST ON SPORTS AND COVID-19 Oh Canada The last Canadian team to win a Stanley Cup was the Montreal Canadiens in 1993. Since then, there have only been four appearances by Canadian teams in the Stanley Cup Finals. Calgary played in the 2004 final. Two years later, it was Edmonton and in 2007 Ottawa played for the Cup. The last Canadian team to make a Stanley Cup final was Vancouver in 2011. This year could be the year a Canadian team at least gets back to the final. With the way the postseason is set up, we know that at least one team from up north will play in the semifinals. The Canadian team with the best shot at winning it all is Toronto, which is given +550 odds to win this year’s Stanley Cup. The Maple Leafs (35-13-6) have a commanding lead in the North Division with two games remaining. Toronto has one of the NHL’s most formidable duos in Mitch Marner (third in the NHL in points with 67) and Auston Mathews (NHL goals leader with 40). The Favorite - NHL Stanley Cup Futures When looking at the updated NHL Stanley Cup futures, we need to look at the favorites. The overall odds favorite to win this year’s Stanley Cup is Colorado, which will likely finish second in its own West Division. The Avalanche took over the favorite role at the end of March and have maintained a hold on it despite losing four of their last nine games. The Avs have what is likely the most talented offensive roster in the NHL. Nathan MacKinnon leads the team with 65 points. Mikko Rantanen scored 30 goals and is second in points with 61. Gabriel Landeskog has 49 points and defenseman Cale Makar adds 43. Colorado will be a tough out in the postseason. The Avs lead the NHL in scoring (3.47) and they are also fifth in goals against per game (2.45). That is why they are now listed at +400 to win it all. MUST READ > HOW TO BECOME A BOOKIE Vegas Odds - Updated NHL Stanley Cup Futures As mentioned Colorado could lose out on the top seed in the West Division to rival Vegas. The Golden Knights are 8-2 in their last 10 games and have one remaining with the Avs. Win it, and they win the division. Vegas, which is listed at +500 in the updated NHL Stanley Cup futures, is tied for first in goals against per game (2.22). The Knights are outstanding on defense. That is one reason why they hold a 4-3 edge in the season series with Colorado. Like the Avs, Vegas will be a tough out in the postseason. Take a look at your online sportsbook’s NHL betting menu and ride the hot hand. The Central The Central Division has been outstanding this season. Reigning Stanley Cup champion Tampa Bay (36-16-3) is currently third behind Florida (36-14-5) and first-place Carolina (36-11-8). The Hurricanes are tied with Vegas for the President’s Cup with 80 points. Carolina is given +650 odds to win the Cup while the defending champion Lightning check in at +600. The Panthers, who haven’t made it past the first round of the playoffs since 2012, are given the longest odds in the division at +1750. Value Picks - NHL Stanley Cup Futures One of the bigger surprises of the latter part of the season was the run by the Pittsburgh Penguins that resulted in an NHL East Division title. The Pens are 8-2 in their last ten games and sport a 22-4-2 record at home, the best in the NHL. Pittsburgh (+900) edged out Washington (+900) for the East crown. The Capitals are given the same odds as the Penguins. Any team with Alexander Ovechkin always has a shot at the Cup. Don’t forget the Caps won it all in 2018. Also given +900 odds is Boston which is also in the East Division. The Bruins won 11 of their last 15 games to capture third-place in the division. Boston has one of the best lines in hockey with Brad Marchand (67 pts), Patrice Bergeron (48), and David Pastrnak (47). Longshots to Win Lord Stanley’s Mug While not a huge longshot at +1150 in NHL Stanley Cup futures, the New York Islanders are the best defensive team in hockey. Goalie Semyon Varlamov is second in goals against average (2.02) and second in save percentage (.930). The Islanders can keep games close. What they have trouble doing is winning on the road. Edmonton isn’t a huge longshot either, but at +1750 they could make a late-season run. They are 7-3 in their last ten games and they have the top two scorers in the league in Connor McDavid (100 pts) and Leon Draisaitl (79).
A year ago, the sports world was on pause because of the coronavirus worldwide pandemic. We’ll now bring you up to speed on sports and COVID-19. But many are asking what’s the latest on sports and COVID-19. Professional and amateur sports in almost every country in the world were shut down due to COVID-19. Fast forward to the present and the sports world is back to normal … almost. We saw the completion of the 2019-20 NBA and NHL seasons. MLB played a shortened schedule but crowned a World Series champion. The NFL season went off with few hitches culminating in a Tom Brady-Tampa Bay winning Super Bowl. As we get ready to head into the summer, the sports world is back though it has been a bit different. An entire college basketball season was played with hardly any fans in attendance. So, what does it look like now? Here’s a glimpse of the current sports world and COVID-19. US LEGALIZING GAMBLING: ONLINE SPORTSBOOKS ARE SUPERIOR Race for the Roses It was a beautiful day. Saturday, May 1, Churchill Downs welcomed back the Kentucky Derby to its normal date on the schedule. The venue also welcomed 51,838 fans, far short of the usual 150,000-plus but far more than any other sporting event since the beginning of the pandemic. The Kentucky Derby set the record for the largest pandemic-era crowd. Medina Spirit pulled the upset beating favorite Essential Quality, who finished fourth. It was a huge win for sports fans. Alabama Football - Sports and COVID-19 If there is a football game in Alabama, then you can bet there will be fans. The defending national champion Crimson Tide held their annual spring football game to cap off their spring practice. On Saturday, April 17, 47,218 fans entered Bryant-Denny Stadium and watched the annual “A-Day” game. All fans had their temperature checked before entering the stadium. Masks were required of all those in attendance. In the end, the White beat the Crimson 13-10. Another win for sports fans. Just another sign that sports and COVID-19 are getting along. ICYMI > TIPS TO WIN MORE MLB BETS NFL Draft The NFL’s 2020 season was about as close to normal as one could get. The league did without its offseason OTAs (organize team activities) and minicamps and played no preseason games. In the end, the league plowed through its 17-week regular season with just a few coronavirus-related hiccups. The 2021 season is off to a good start with roughly 35,000 in attendance at the annual draft. This year’s draft was held in Cleveland and fully vaccinated fans were allowed closer to where the action was. Did you see the betting options for this year’s NFL draft? If you didn’t have access to those sorts of bets, it’s time to find a sportsbook that caters to you. The league did not hold its annual combine event, but is planning on another successful season in 2021. This one even features an increase in the number of games played by each team - 17. Indianapolis 500 It is an annual Memorial Day event. Last year, the Indy 500 was not run until August 23 and there were no fans in attendance. What a difference a year makes. The Indianapolis Motor Speedway is expecting 130,000-plus to be in attendance on Sunday, May 30. Sports and COVID-19 - 2020 Olympics in 2021 As the pandemic shut down much of the U.S. in the spring of 2020, officials in Tokyo decided it would be in the best interest of the Olympic games if the 2020 Tokyo Games were postponed and rescheduled for 2021. Opening ceremonies are set for July 23 and athletes (as well as staff, officials, media, etc.) will be under strict protocols. Anyone coming to Japan for the Olympic games must have two negative COVID tests within 96 hours of their flight to Japan. All athletes will be tested daily. They will be required to use Games’ vehicles and not public transportation. They must also follow strict rules on where they may dine. Still Wreaking Havoc The IIHF Ice Hockey Women’s World Championships were scheduled to begin on May 6. The event has been moved to August 20-31 and will still be held in Canada. Canada continues to have a mandatory 14-day quarantine for anyone entering the country. The hope is to have fans in the crowd as well as a full broadcast team in place for the event. This is the second time the event has been postponed and rescheduled because of the coronavirus. The Women’s World event was last played in 2019. NHL Playoff Issues The NHL may have a problem when the playoffs reach the “conference” semifinals. The league realigned divisions to cut down on travel this season. All seven Canadian teams played in the same division. The top four teams will make the playoffs with the first-place team playing the fourth-place team and second-place playing third-place. Once a division champ is determined, that team is going to be required to travel to North America. As mentioned, Canada has a mandatory 14-day quarantine upon returning to the country. Either that has to be waived or the Canadian team is going to have to relocate to the US. While the sports world seems to be getting back to normal, the virus still has some lingering effects and will likely continue to for the remainder of 2021.
Let’s face it, you want to win more MLB bets. We all know betting on NFL games is the king of betting, but the smarter bettor knows that a lot of money is to be made wagering on MLB games. Betting on baseball is a bit different than the NFL. One of the big differences is just the sheer amount of games - over 2,400 per regular season. The other major difference is that because of low scoring, baseball is a moneyline sport. Bettors pick winners and don’t focus on which teams cover. With these ideas in mind, how can you find success in betting on baseball. Here are some tips to win more MLB bets this season. CHOOSING THE BEST SPORTSBOOK FOR MLB Stay Away From Big Favorites It’s no secret that the betting public loves favorites. Oddsmakers know that and take advantage of it by shading lines. The public loves the Yankees and Dodgers and whatever other teams are the flavors of the day. Instead of the Dodgers being a -120 favorite in a given game, oddsmakers will jump the line up to -180 or even -200 or more. Oddsmakers know that the public will bet on them regardless of the number. Since 2005, favorites of -150 or higher have won over 63 percent of the time. That may seem great but remember the minus-money payouts. In the long run, you would have lost over 310 units. This is not the way to win more MLB bets. Playing a big favorite every now and again can produce wins, but consistently targeting them will dry up your betting account. Must Read > Pre-Draft NFL Futures Focus on Divisional Underdogs Bettors can really focus on any plus-money underdog, but divisional dogs really pay off. By hitting plus-money underdogs, bettors can win at a sub-50 percent rate and still come out ahead. When you bet $100 on an underdog and they lose, you’re out the $100. When the underdog wins, bettors get a plus-money payout. Focusing on underdogs really pays off when the opponents are in the same division. Divisional opponents play each other 19 times each season. This makes for some familiarity and levels the playing field in favor of the underdog. You can break this down even further by focusing on road divisional underdogs. The public tends to overvalue home field advantage. Bettors can also take advantage of games between divisional opponents where the total is set at 8.5 or higher. With more runs expected, there is more variance which favors the underdog. Focusing just on these two situations has produced enough wins for bettors to take notice. ICYMI: GETTING READY TO BET THE 2021 NBA PLAYOFFS Fade the Public - Win More MLB Bets If you haven’t picked up on it yet, one of the easiest MLB betting strategies is to bet against the public. More often than not, the public loses. The public loves winners. They also love Overs, games with lots of runs and action. The public also over-values home teams and is subject to recency bias. If a team won yesterday, then they will win again today is how the public thinks. By betting against the public, MLB bettors can take advantage of inflated numbers. Bettors also put themselves on the side of the sportsbooks, which win more often. That’s why they’re still in business. Check the Weather Sure, there will be rainouts and even some snow in early and late season games, but the thing you want to look for is the wind. The direction and speed of the wind can have a great impact on the outcome of a game. Winds blowing in at a speed of 5 mph or greater tend to push totals to the Under. Think about it. Long fly balls that might have gone out of the park are now outs. Since 2005 in situations like this, the Under has cashed over 55 percent of the time. Check the winds before a day game at Wrigley Field. With the wind blowing in at 5 mph or higher and a total of 8 or more, the Under has hit nearly 63 percent of the time since 2005. The opposite is also true. Winds blowing out at 8 mph or higher lead to more Overs. Since 2005, games in those conditions have seen the total go Over nearly 53 percent of the time. The Basics To Win More MLB Bets When betting MLB, don’t forget the basics. Shop for the best lines. Getting divisional underdog at +145 instead of +140 can add up quickly when you win. Using a few basic tips will definitely help you win more MLB bets. Bettors should also manage their bankrolls wisely and stick to their general rules. MLB bettors would also be wise to avoid parlays and teasers. The public tends to get sucked into the idea of massive payouts, but it’s the sportsbooks that are making out on parlays and teasers.
The second season is right around the corner, so it’s time to start getting ready to bet the 2021 NBA Playoffs. The 2020-21 NBA regular season is heading toward its home stretch as teams near 60 games played. Teams will play 72 games this year, 10 fewer than in a normal season. That means that playoff time is near. Like last season, a play-in tournament will kick off the postseason. The play-in will determine the No. 7 and No. 8 seeds. It will also add a few more games for bettors, who need to be getting ready to bet the 2021 NBA playoffs. BETTING THE NBA RACE TO 20 POINTS The Play-In Tournament - Betting the 2021 NBA Playoffs Bettors will have the opportunity to bet on the play-in games. The seventh-place team in each conference will host the eighth-place team. The winner of that game earns the No. 7 seed. The ninth-place team hosts the tenth-place team. The loser is eliminated and the winner travels to the loser of the seventh-place versus eight-place game. The winner of that game earns the No. 8 seed and the playoffs then continue as normal. The play-in tournament adds more opportunities for NBA bettors. Betting Options There are some NBA bets that are only available during the playoffs. For example, bettors can find a number of wagers on playoff series. The easiest series bet is picking the winner, but there are also bets on the exact series result - i.e. Utah 4-1 over Memphis - and the total number of games in the series. There will also be options to bet on the overall NBA champion as well as the conference champions in the futures market. These bets are open all season and continue through the playoffs though the odds tend to get shorter, especially on favorites. Bettors will also be able to bet on individual performances like the NBA Finals MVP as well as individual game props. There will also be series prop bets like which player will have the most points, assists, or rebounds in a series. Then, there is the latest trend - live betting. NBA bettors will be able to engage in live betting with the upcoming playoffs. This is a fast, exciting way of engaging in games and winning bets. BECOME A SMARTER BETTOR - START BUYING PREMIUM PICKS NBA Playoff Betting Strategies: Home Court Advantage While home court advantage can be debated and certainly in a COVID-19 affected season, statistics show that NBA teams win around 60 percent of their home games during the regular season. That number rises to nearly 65 percent during the postseason. In the playoffs, home teams, aka the higher seeds, play the first two games at home and each series follows the same format: 2-2-1-1-1. Should a series go to a seventh game, it is played on the court of the higher seed. Some teams have a distinct advantage when playing at home. The two biggest home court advantages are enjoyed by Denver and Utah. Ball Arena in Denver is at the highest elevation in the league. Playing at elevation has an effect on players giving the Nuggets an advantage. Whether one believes it or not, home court advantage is a factor to consider before placing your NBA playoff bets at online sportsbooks. Rest Advantages Another consideration worth looking at when you want to bet the 2021 NBA playoffs is rest. There are teams in the early rounds that may have a distinct advantage when it comes to rest. Take the 2018 playoffs when Houston beat Minnesota in five games in the first round. The Rockets second-round opponent, Utah, took six games to beat Oklahoma City. The Jazz were forced to play in Houston just two days after beating the Thunder. Houston won easily against a tired Utah. Upset Victims Heading Home In the first two rounds of the playoffs, there is one bet that is as close to a sure thing as you’ll find. What bettors are searching for are NBA favorites playing on the road that fall victim to the upset. Favored teams that lose on the road and then play their next game at home win at a staggering pace. Teams facing this situation win 78.9 percent of the time straight up and they cover the spread at a 60.5 percent clip. Fade the Public - Bet the 2021 NBA Playoffs The NBA playoffs represent one of the best situations to bet against the public. Because it’s playoff time, an influx of square bettors enter the fray with little knowledge of betting. Squares tend to bet heavily on favorites and Overs. Savvy bettors can find those lines that have been influenced by the public and take advantage by betting the other side. It’s just one of many ways to capitalize on betting the NBA playoffs in 2021.
The world’s richest investors do not do it alone, that’s why you need to start buying premium picks. It’s not just a matter of picking a stock, an exchange fund, or even a currency and going all-in. Investors in the various stock and commodities markets do their homework and they get help from experts in the respective fields. It is much the same for bettors. Looking at sports betting as an investment will help you see that you cannot do it all yourself. There will be times when you need the assistance of professionals, even if you happen to be one yourself. When that time comes, become a smarter bettor and start buying premium picks. And, don’t just buy any picks. Buy picks from the service that will put you on the right side of the action - Action Sports Picks. Best Times to Starting Buying Premium Picks You can start buying premium picks in a number of situations that makes complete sense. One is for the inexperienced, novice bettor that is looking to have some success early in the betting career. When you’re starting out, there is a wide variety of things that the beginning bettor just doesn’t understand. Getting the help of professionals that handicap games for a living is a great way for novice bettors to learn ideas about betting strategy, how to find value in bets, and much more. New bettors will find that when the buy premium picks they still come out ahead as their winning percentage increases. Another perfect situation in which a smarter bettor should buy sports picks is during a slump. Now, it could be a bettor that is on a losing streak or maybe it’s a bettor that just isn’t happy with his/her current performance. Action Sports Picks Either way, contracting the help of a professional can be the answer to your problems. It’s no different than a baseball player paying a hitting coach to help him get out of a slump. Professional handicappers, like those at Action Sports Picks, can help a bettor with a few wins and work to rebuild a bettor’s confidence. The biggest reason for buying sports picks is simply time. If you are not a professional bettor - or even if you are - there are times when you just don’t have enough time to do all the proper research to make a sound betting decision on a certain game or event. Buying premium picks is a time-saver. It’s a matter of convenience. You can let the professionals do all the research and reap the benefits of their insider knowledge. When bettors are pressed for time, the option of buying picks is always available. EDITOR’S CHOICE > PROFESSIONAL SPORTS HANDICAPPERS: THE TALE OF THE TAPE Where to Buy Premium Picks There are numerous services that will sell you premium sports picks. Like buying stock tips, you wouldn’t simply just throw your money at any picks service. You will want to do some research on a sports picks service before buying. With all of the information available today via the Internet, it is a bit easier to find reputable picks services. Search for those that have positive reviews and have been endorsed by numerous previous customers. The more trustworthy picks services will post historical records. They will also offer a breakdown of their methods, i.e. how they come about choosing their picks. This will give you an idea about how these services make their picks. There are also services that offer some sort of guarantee. If you don’t win a certain percentage of your bets, you will receive additional services until you do. In most cases, you will have to follow the betting strategy of the picks service in order to receive those additional services. Why Buy from Action Sports Picks When you are searching for that picks service to help you, you will likely first look at historical records. How good are these guys? You will find the pro cappers at Action Sports Picks are some of the best in the business. All of the handicappers have extensive experience in sports betting and the records to back up their history of success. Bettors also like easy. Action Sports Picks makes it very easy for bettors to purchase picks. There are numerous packages from which to choose and there are cappers with a variety of experience. If you are looking for help with NFL betting, you can find an Action Sports Picks handicapper that specializes in the NFL. If you’re looking to become a smarter bettor, start buying premium picks and start buying them from Actions Sports Picks. They will put you on the right side of the action.
The 2021 NHL season heads into its final third and things are beginning to heat up. One of things heating up is Colorado, which hasn’t lost in regulation play since March 8. Florida and Washington have taken over the lead in their respective divisions and watch out for Nashville, which won eight of its last ten games to move into fourth place in the Central Division. There are a number of teams to keep an eye on as you navigate betting the remainder of the 2021 NHL season. Most Profitable In addition to Washington, there are three more teams up over $600 on the season - Florida, Carolina, and Winnipeg.The Panthers are 29-6-4 and recently took over first place in the Central Division from Tampa Bay. Carolina is 25-9-3 overall and Winnipeg is 22-13-3. The Hurricanes have been a strong moneyline bet through the season. The Jets own the NHL’s best record against the spread at 29-9. The New York Islanders and Pittsburgh Penguins are two more profitable teams thus far in 2021. The Islanders are 24-10-3 overall and an impressive 23-15 ATS. Pittsburgh is just 17-21 ATS, but they are a virtual moneyline lock at home. The Penguins are 16-3-1 at PPG Paints Arena. Minnesota is another profitable home team. The Wild are third in the West at 23-11-2 and the team is 13-3 at home. NHL GRAND SALAMI & WHY IT IS FUN TO BET Backing the Capitals in the 2021 NHL Season What is extremely interesting this 2021 NHL season is the play of the Washington Capitals. Yes, they still have one of the greatest scorers in league history in Alexander Ovechkin, but he’s aging and, besides, Washington wasn’t really supposed to contend for a Stanley Cup were they? Regardless of their chances for a Cup, the Caps are a team bettors should continue to watch the remainder of the 2021 NHL season. Thus far, Washington is up $739 for the season. The Caps are 25-9-4 on the season and they are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games. The Caps are not a solid spread bet. They are actually 0-5 ATS in their last five games. Bettors can also find value in Caps’ totals. Washington is just 28th in shots per game, but the Caps are second overall in the NHL in scoring average (3.47 goals per game). They are eighth in penalty kill percentage and they don’t give up many power play goals (0.53 per game, 10th). Because of the Caps’ scoring, the total has gone Over in four of the last five Capitals games. For the season, Washington is 21-15 to the Over. Editor’s Choice > Recapping the 2021 NCAAB Season Betting Stanley Cup Futures Reigning Stanley Cup champion Tampa Bay has been the favorite to repeat for most of the season. The Lightning are currently listed at +550. Tampa stumbled a bit lately and, as mentioned, was overtaken in the Central Division by Florida, which is a longshot at +2000. As the season continues, the more the Lightning win the more likely their odds to win the Stanley Cup will shrink. Even without Nikita Kucherov, the Lightning roster is capable of winning another title. History stands in their way though as Pittsburgh in 2016 and 2017 are the only repeat Cup winners since the late 1990s. Vegas checks in at +650 with West Division rival Colorado at +750. The Avalanche is red-hot recently going 8-0-2 during a 10-game stretch. Colorado has the highest goal differential in the NHL outscoring opponents by 49 goals. Toronto, an early season favorite, has fallen off a bit. The Maple Leafs (+800) still lead the all-Canadian North Division, but Toronto suffered through a seven-game stretch from March 4 to 19 that saw the team win just one game. Auston Matthews has 25 goals already and he and Mitch Marner are among the NHL’s top point scorers. Matthews is fourth in the league and Marner is fifth right now. We like to cover everything for the sports bettor here at Smarter Bettor. Take a look at betting MLB props to both expand your betting menu and win more bets! 2021 NHL Season Totals If you’re looking to capitalize on totals for the remainder of the 2021 NHL season, keep an eye on the Philadelphia Flyers. They are nothing spectacular, but the Flyers score enough and are just bad enough defensively to lead the league in Overs at 25-11. Philly is 14th in scoring averaging 3.03 goals per game. On the defensive end, the Flyers rank 30th allowing 3.67 goals per game. In a game where totals usually fall between 5.5 and 6.5, it’s easy to see why the Flyers have so many Overs.